30/12/25
8'
In just three years, Temu has transformed from an unknown startup into one of Europe’s most disruptive e-commerce forces. The platform’s meteoric rise, fueled by rock-bottom prices, aggressive advertising, and a direct-from-China supply model, has sent shockwaves through the industry.
But now, Temu’s European playbook is undergoing a fundamental shift. Behind the scenes, the company is accelerating a localization strategy that marks a decisive break from its original model. The reason is straightforward: scale without regional roots is no longer viable in Europe’s increasingly regulated market.
Temu’s success has long hinged on a structural advantage: shipping ultra-cheap goods directly from China while benefiting from customs exemptions for low-value parcels. That advantage is about to disappear.
On December 12, 2025, the European Council agreed to impose a fixed €3 customs duty on small parcels valued under €150 entering the EU, effective July 1, 2026. In 2024 alone, an estimated 4.6 billion low-value shipments entered the EU, nearly double the 2023 figure, with China accounting for approximately 91 percent of them.
For platforms whose entire value proposition rests on being the cheapest option, this regulatory shift represents a turning point. The temporary duty is expected to cover 93 percent of all e-commerce flows into the EU, fundamentally altering the economics of cross-border commerce.
Temu appears to have read these signals earlier than many competitors, launching an ambitious pivot toward European integration well before the new rules take effect.
| Business Dimension | The Old Model (2022–2025) | The Catalyst (Dec 2025) | The New European Model (2026+) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Logistics | 100% China-direct shipments Relied on customs exemptions for low-value parcels |
€3 fixed duty (effective July 1, 2026) Covers ~93% of EU e-commerce flows |
80% EU fulfillment by year-end UK: 50% local fulfillment target 40–60% cost reduction per item vs air freight |
| Supply Chain | Bulk shipments from China warehouses to EU | 4.6B low-value shipments in 2024 China ≈ 91% of imports |
Partnerships with DHL, FedEx, Royal Mail, bpostgroup Third-party EU warehouses Lower per-item logistics costs |
| Sellers | Dominated by Chinese manufacturers Limited European supplier presence |
Regulatory scrutiny on seller accountability VLOP designation under DSA |
Active recruitment of European brands & retailers Food & cosmetics categories expanding Hiring former Amazon/marketplace specialists |
| Compliance | Minimal regulatory footprint Exploited customs exemption loopholes |
EC formal proceedings opened BEUC complaints filed French “anti-fast fashion” bill debate |
VLOP compliance framework Local product safety standards Proactive regulatory readiness |
| Market Position | US-focused growth (until 2024) Explosive expansion via viral marketing |
US user spending ↓ 36% (May 2025) Strategic pivot to Europe |
~92M MAU in EU (late 2024) Projected €15B+ GMV (2025) Target €20B+ by end 2026 Profitability target: 2026 |
| Business Model | “Cheapest marketplace” positioning Low-margin, high-volume strategy |
~€30 estimated per-order losses Up to ~€950M annual losses (est.) |
Local execution + regulatory readiness Premium on trust & delivery speed Path to operational profitability |
According to multiple industry reports, Temu is redesigning its European operating model around three interconnected pillars: local logistics, local sellers, and regulatory compliance.
The most visible transformation is in logistics. Temu aims to ship up to 80 percent of European orders from within the EU, a dramatic shift from its traditional China-direct model. In the UK specifically, the platform targets 50 percent local order fulfillment by the end of 2025, with plans to expand this approach across the continent.
This strategy delivers multiple benefits: shorter delivery times, reduced customs exposure, and improved return handling, all long-standing pain points for cross-border platforms. To support this model, Temu has forged partnerships with major logistics providers including DHL and FedEx, along with national carriers such as Royal Mail and bpostgroup.
The company reports that bulk shipping to UK third-party warehouses has reduced per-item logistics costs by 40-60 percent compared to traditional air freight, while improving delivery speeds.
Localization isn’t just about where products are stored, it’s about who sells them. Temu has begun actively recruiting European brands and retailers, allowing local merchants to list and fulfill products directly from EU warehouses.
This represents a significant departure for a marketplace initially dominated by Chinese manufacturers. In Germany, Temu has intensified outreach to local producers, including in regulated categories such as food and cosmetics. By expanding its assortment with locally sourced products, the platform not only improves relevance for European consumers but also strengthens compliance with EU product safety and labeling standards.
Temu is facing major challenges here, because attracting European sellers is not easy. The marketplace is definitely not yet an option for all merchants – the margin problem is significant. Many can’t keep up with such low prices. This article analyzes in detail which merchants Temu is suitable for, and which it is (still) not.
The platform is actively hiring former Amazon managers and European marketplace specialists, particularly in Germany. The message is unmistakable: winning Europe requires local market knowledge, not just algorithmic efficiency.
Temu’s localization push isn’t purely voluntary, it’s also driven by mounting regulatory pressure.
The platform has been officially designated as a Very Large Online Platform (VLOP) under the EU’s Digital Services Act, bringing stricter obligations around product safety, transparency, and risk management. In parallel, the European Commission has opened formal proceedings against Temu, focusing on issues such as illegal products and potentially addictive design patterns.
Additional regulatory challenges include complaints filed by BEUC, the pan-European consumer organization, over deceptive techniques that allegedly cause overconsumption, along with an “anti-fast fashion” bill under debate in the French National Assembly that specifically targets ultra-cheap platforms.
In this context, localization becomes both offensive and defensive. Operating closer to the market, with local sellers, fulfillment, and compliance infrastructure, makes regulatory requirements more manageable while reducing systemic risk.
Temu’s transformation reflects broader changes in global e-commerce dynamics. As U.S. consumer spending on Temu fell approximately 36 percent in May 2025 compared to the previous year, following similar tariff pressures, the company has strategically shifted focus toward European markets.
Based on current growth trajectories, Temu’s EU gross merchandise volume is projected to exceed $15 billion in 2025 and could surpass $20 billion by the end of 2026, positioning it among the top online marketplaces in Europe. The platform reached approximately 92 million monthly active users in the EU by late 2024.
However, this growth comes at a cost. Analysts estimate per-order losses of $30, totaling up to $950 million annually, though the company expects to reach operational profitability by 2026 through increased logistics efficiency and local warehousing.
Temu’s evolution offers several critical lessons for brands and retailers operating in Europe.
Temu isn’t abandoning its low-price DNA, ultra-competitive pricing remains central to its value proposition. But the company is clearly attempting to rewrite its narrative, evolving from “cheapest marketplace on the internet” to a platform genuinely embedded in European commerce.
For the broader e-commerce ecosystem, this shift merits close attention. It signals a future where success in Europe depends less on brute-force scale and more on local execution, regulatory readiness, and consumer trust.
The question now isn’t whether Temu will localize, it’s whether localization will arrive quickly enough to offset the coming regulatory and competitive pressures. For European retailers and brands, Temu’s transformation represents both a warning and an opportunity: the rules of cross-border commerce are changing, and those who adapt fastest will define the next chapter of European e-commerce.
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